Populisms: A USA-Europe perspective with Laure Pallez

Laure Pallez, Senior Partner of Mascaret, spoke at the Rencontres de la gauche “la République en Commun”, at the invitation of Carole Delga, President of the Occitanie Region. The theme was “Europe, USA: how to fight populism”. Laure spoke in studio on this theme with Tova Kaplan President of the Harvard University Democrats and spokesperson for Kamala Harris. Some general remarks with 35 days to go before the US presidential election:

1/ The most frequent topic of conversation on RS in the USA is the economy: job creation, taxation, business regulation.

2/ Over the past 2 years, the world has become increasingly violent, with geopolitics invading the domestic sphere and the brutality of public debate sometimes reaching the point of lethality. In this environment, this raises the question of whether the US people are ready to elect a woman who hasn’t done her military service.

3/ Beyond the 2 candidates, what impact in Europe? China 🇨🇳 remains the US’s main rival 🇺🇸chaque countries have understood that no one will surpass the other. We are entering the era of cooperation (competition and cooperation). Europe 🇪🇺 is a commercial adjustment variable in this bilateral relationship, but it is raising ethical standards.

‼️ We are witnessing a high-tension election season in Georgia and Arizona, where Donald Trump has a slight lead due to a strong Republican base and KH’s lesser popularity than Biden (who was the man of the unions). The youth vote will be decisive, but it’s much more divided than you might imagine – it tends to be gendered, with 70% of young women supporting Kamala Harris to 53% of young men, the widest gap in American history according to Tova.

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Joe Biden drops out of the presidential race, what are the new campaign dynamics?

🔄 Joe Biden drops out, new turning point for 2024 presidential election 🇺🇸

Joe Biden announced last Sunday that he would not seek a second term, acknowledging the growing difficulties of his campaign. After a difficult debate against Donald Trump, and under pressure from his camp, concerned about unfavorable polls and insufficient fundraising, Biden chose to withdraw. He expressed his support for his vice-president, Kamala Harris, to take over. A new campaign begins.

To understand the stakes and dynamics of this new race, we invite you to read the article by Laure Pallez, Senior Partner at Mascaret, who, far from clichés, analyzes the driving forces behind the success of Donald Trump and JD Vance.

👉 Check out this article on Marianne.

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Attal backs down, Bardella at the pinnacle, Glucksmann emerges!

February 2024: Attal backs down, Bardella at the pinnacle, Glucksmann emerges!

Every month, Mascaret (formerly Dentsu Consulting) publishes a political barometer in collaboration with ODOXA and Public Sénat, to take the temperature of #opinionpublique. Discover below an extract from the Expert’s Eye section by Benjamin GRANGE, CEO of Mascaret, and Yves CENSI, Senior Partner.

Among the leaders surveyed for the European elections, Jordan Bardella clearly dominates social networks, with 300,000 mentions and 2 million engagements, putting him in first place and demonstrating his high visibility and active online presence. In second place, Raphaël GLUCKSMANN shows a notable dynamic despite lower visibility than Bardella. As for Clément BEAUNE, despite being the least mentioned, he enjoys higher positive sentiment among the public, with 18% positive reactions, suggesting a stronger consensus potential despite his discreet presence on digital platforms.

Despite the activity on social networks of political leaders, the #euelections2024 in France generate little overall enthusiasm. Fluctuations in mentions and engagements potentially reflect a lack of general interest or media #saturation, posing challenges for voter mobilization.

Over the past month, political parties at both ends of the spectrum have been more active, reacting to farmers’ protests and positioning themselves on major issues such as the commemoration of the victims of October 7 and the Pantheonization of the Resistance fighters. This dynamic was marked by an intensification of interactions on #résréseauxsociaux, with a notable increase in the visibility of key figures such as François Ruffin on the left and Marine Le Pen on the right.

Gabriel Attal’s government was confronted with a series of controversial events, resulting in significant media coverage. Revelations about the wealth of certain members of the government, protests by farmers and mistakes made by ministers such as Dominique Faure were major points of attention in the media and on social networks. However, the attention paid to these #controversies tends to diminish rapidly after their initial revelation, although they do help to keep the government in the media spotlight.

Find out more about the full ODOXA-Mascaret survey below:

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Gabriel Attal becomes France’s favorite politician… but Emmanuel Macron doesn’t benefit from appointing him to Matignon

Gabriel Attal becomes France’s favorite politician… but Emmanuel Macron doesn’t benefit from appointing him to Matignon!

Every month, Mascaret (formerly Dentsu Consulting) publishes a political barometer, in collaboration with ODOXA and Public Sénat, to take the temperature of the #opinionpublique. Discover below an extract from the Expert’s Eye column by Benjamin GRANGE, CEO of Mascaret, and Yves CENSI, Senior Partner.

Gabriel Attal, who has just taken up his post at Matignon, has established himself as the political figure who has generated the most hits on #socialnetworks, with the exception of the President of the Republic. With over 1,400,000 mentions in the space of just one month, this represents a 600% increase on the previous month. This appointment has partially convinced the French, with Gabriel Attal benefiting from a significant rise in #sentiment towards him, but only for a short time.

While Gabriel Attal remains the undisputed #political figure of the new year, his ministers have also generated #engagement. Two personalities in particular crystallize the debate: Amélie OUDÉA-CASTÉRA, the new Minister of Education, saw an impressive rise in both mentions (+4615%) and commitments (+13403%), as did Rachida Dati, Minister of Culture (+2735% and +7828.6% respectively).

On the far right of the hemicycle, there was a big drop in interest in political headliners: Éric Zemmour (-28% mentions compared to last month), Marion Maréchal (-45.7%) and Marine Le Pen (only +6% due to Bruno Le Maire’s interpellation of her). On the left of the political spectrum, the observations are the same: Jean-Luc Mélenchon (-58.5%), Adrien Quatennens (-66%) and Fabien Roussel (-30.2%). Radical political parties let the newly-formed government take the media spotlight.

Find the full ODOXA-Mascaret poll below:

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Political barometer: Immigration law, fever in the hemicycle, but little contagion on the networks.

Immigration law: fever in the hemicycle, but no contagion on social networks, while Gérald Darmanin finds himself at the center of attention.

In collaboration with ODOXA and Public Sénat, Mascaret (formerly Dentsu Consulting) publishes a monthly political barometer to gauge the temperature of public opinion. Discover below an extract from the Expert’s Eye column by Benjamin GRANGE, CEO of Mascaret, and Yves CENSI, Senior Partner.

Immigration law: fever in the hemicycle, but no contagion on social networks. Debates on France’s immigration law in December 2023 revealed intense ideological differences in the National Assembly. But on the networks, the debate on the immigration law did not excite the crowds: it counted “only” 230,000 mentions and 2 million engagements. By way of comparison, over the same period, the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, despite declining attention, racked up 5 million mentions and 15 million engagements.

Discussions on the abolition of the AME (with a small spike at the end of November during the passage of the bill through the Senate), article 3 on jobs in short supply, and political manoeuvring on the passage of the bill, have slightly revived the interest of Internet users. Within these conversations, the role of Parliament is being questioned: are the French genuinely interested in parliamentary debate, or are they content with the “49-3” of a strong executive?

Immigration law: fever in the hemicycle, but no contagion on social networks, while Gérald Darmanin finds himself at the center of attention.

The debates and negotiations gave pride of place to right-wing personalities, who saw a real upsurge in interest: Renaud MUSELIER (+70% of mentions compared to last month), Eric Ciotti (+40%), Laurent Wauquiez (+40%), Thierry Mariani (+20%)… but it was above all Gerald Darmanin who found himself the most exposed: he was at the heart of the debates on the networks too, with an increase of 45% of mentions and 105% of engagements! As the true bearer of the bill, he was its almost unique representative in the minds of the French. Rarely for the better, however, as the Interior Minister’s popularity is far from assured on social networks, where his detractors are particularly vocal – #DarmaninDémission having been a top hashtag over the period. In fact, the question of his possible departure was the most followed episode of the entire sequence, across the board!

Find out more about the full ODOXA-Mascaret poll below!

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Mascaret presents its study on local authorities’ perceptions of CSR practices

On the occasion of #TheGoodForum, Benjamin GRANGE, CEO of Mascaret (formerly Dentsu Consulting), presented a study on citizens’ perceptions of local authorities’ CSR projects and practices.

Citizens have particular expectations when it comes to waste reduction, pollution control and energy transition. However, concrete elements such as the development of bicycle paths are less popular, underlining the complexity of aligning objectives and actions for local authorities. We need to reconcile the expectations of our constituents with the constraints imposed by the ecological transition.

There is also a real communications challenge for local authorities: only 1 in 2 French people claim to be informed by their local authority of the CSR initiatives it has put in place. This figure falls to 44% for the State.

For local authorities, rising to the challenge means navigating between citizens’ expectations, political considerations and the challenge of renewing mandates.

Watch the full presentation below:

The Good Forum #5 Territoires – Étude Mascaret
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Release of Eco Keys n°5: How AI is changing our lives!

Two years ago, EcoDDS launched #EcoKeys, a magazine produced with the support of Mascaret (formerly Dentsu Consulting). Eco Keys n°5 is out today!

🌱 Eco Keys explores environmental and economic themes through interviews with leading executives, and presents innovative initiatives combining ecology and tech, aimed at business leaders and public decision-makers.

🔍 Today, Eco Keys is in its fifth issue, developing, as it does every time, increasingly varied themes. To be found in this issue:

➡️ A feature on #artificialintelligence and how this technology is changing our lives.
➡️ An interview with Chiara Corazza on the role of women in innovation.
➡️ A report on #agroecology in India.

👏 Congratulations to everyone involved in creating this beautiful edifice. And a big bravo to Pierre Olivier Charlemagne for his dedication and unwavering commitment. Read an extract of Eco Keys n°5 from the magazine below!

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Political barometer: the situation in the Middle East crystallizes all tensions

Yves Censi was on Sens Public to present our analyses for the month of October. Assessment: during these difficult weeks, the situation in the Middle East has crystallized tensions in France…

Each month, Mascaret (formerly Dentsu Consulting) publishes a political barometer in collaboration with ODOXA and Public Sénat, to take the temperature of #opinionpublique. In their column, “L’œil de l’expert”, Benjamin GRANGE and Yves CENSI look back on a difficult October:

“The situation in the Middle East crystallized all tensions and put politicians, both majority and opposition, in a delicate position: the conflict had a profound impact on the positions of political parties. The many debates surrounding the Israeli-Palestinian conflict have inflamed and polarized #réseauxsociaux in France, with almost 10 million mentions and 40 million engagements in just a few weeks. While the numbers have fallen over time – we’re now at around half the October 7 rates – their longevity remains impressive: the French have taken hold of the debate, showing that the October 7 attack and the events that followed have touched the French deeply.

Two personalities were the crystallizers: Jean-Luc Mélenchon and Gerald Darmanin, who respectively came second (1,700,000 mentions) and third (1,090,000) in terms of media coverage this month – behind only the President of the Republic (2,500,000). The Franco-French controversies surrounding the conflict had a lot to do with it. Behind them, the other political leaders had a hard time making themselves heard, if they didn’t simply keep a low profile. The three notable exceptions, for better or worse, are Mathilde Panot (LFI), Yaël BRAUN-PIVET (Renaissance) and Meyer Habib (UDI). Their positions on the conflict – systematically contested – have propelled them to the forefront of the media in recent weeks. It’s also worth noting that the François Ruffin dynamic is quietly making headway, playing up the “moderate in relation to LFI” strategy, a niche that is nevertheless coveted (PC, EELV, PS).”

Watch the #SensPublic program presented by Thomas HUGUES on the Public Sénat website, where Yves CENSI is interviewed alongside Anne-Charlene Bezzina, Laetitia Krupa, Gael Sliman and Richard Werly. The full ODOXA-Mascaret survey is available below:

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Macron: the war of succession is on!

Between the abaya ban, the crisis in Lampedusa and the Pope’s visit to Marseille, online discussions are lively. Among the questions driving public opinion, one persists: who will win the succession of Emmanuel Macron in 2027?

While 50% of French people surveyed are unanimous in saying that Edouard Philippe is the ideal Renaissance candidate, 29% are thinking more of Gabriel Attal, whose popularity has risen this month. Has the war of succession become official?

On Public Sénat’s Sens Public program, Yves Censi, senior partner at Mascaret, looks back at the political news.

The first half of this year has been marked by heated debates on subjects that have weighed heavily on public opinion. These included pension reform and debates on the democratic deficit. Once these issues had faded into the background, interest in politics began to wane. This trend is finally being reversed, with the new political season focusing on highly controversial issues whose long-term future is still uncertain.

For a detailed analysis, check out the #baropol presented by Mascaret (formerly Dentsu Consulting) and its partner ODOXA, as well as the complete program presented by Thomas HUGUES with Yves CENSI, Céline Bracq, Yael Goosz, Bastien François and Emilie Zapalski.

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Mascaret X Challenges: which French influencers could earn the most thanks to social networks?

Who is in the Top 50 French influencers ? Which ones could earn more thanks to #socialnetworks ? Discover here the Challenges ranking and Mascaret’s analysis!

We are proud to have collaborated with the editorial staff of Challenges to bring you this series of articles on the current state of influencer networks.

The analysis of each influencer’s potential revenue reveals, among other things, an ever-growing interest from brands and an influencer market that continues to expand… and to make people dream ✨💰✨

Find the article in its entirety on the Challenges website by clicking here

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